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报告简介:

2008-2010中国电动汽车产业展望和市场分析市场分析及发展趋势研究报告
  The research and development of electric vehicle in China and in the world is at the same starting line with comparatively small difference in technology level and industrialization. In the “Tenth Five-year Plan”, in the consideration of maintaining Chinese energy safety, improving atmosphere environment, increasing vehicle industry competitive strength and realizing great-leap-forward development of Chinese industry, China has established “electric vehicle significant technological specialty” to unite to attack key problems by combining strength of enterprises, universities and colleges, research institutes, etc. Investment related to this field in National (863) Plan reached to 0.88 billion RMB. After 4 years of implementation and through the effort of more than 2000 technicists from more than 200 enterprises, universities and colleges and research institutes, the “electric vehicle significant technological specialty” of China has achieved great progress. For example, fuel cell vehicle has already successfully developed performance prototype, fuel cell car accumulated to drive for 4000km and fuel battery coach accumulated to run for 8000km; hybrid Vehicle is been tested in bus line of Wuhan, etc. and runs more than 140,000 km; pure electric autos and pure electric coaches have been already passed related certification tests of the country.
  At present, China focuses on the research and development of hybrid electric vehicle. There are mainly three types of hybrid electric vehicle according to the mode of energy synthesis, namely, series connected type, parallel connected type and composite type. Recently, all large auto groups in China are doing Hybrid Electric Vehicle research, which are mainly hybrid electric bus research. The direction of this kind of research and development is in accordance with Chinese national situation, being conducive to the research and development of Chinese electric vehicle. The technology of electric vehicle has been further improved in 2007 and several large auto groups in the country will center on self innovation. For pure electric vehicle, Xiali and Shen Long - Fu Kang have new move and it is hopeful to realize mass production of fuel autos in Shanghai. Due to the green and environmental protection concept of 2008 Olympic Games and Expo 2010 Shanghai China, electric vehicle industry will have mass production in 2007 in China by the mode of government procurement.
  According to the requirements of the development plan of Chinese auto industry, the development object of Chinese electric vehicle is: to 2010, electric vehicle inventory will account for 5%-10% of auto inventory and annual production and sales of electric vehicle will reach more than 1.5 million; to 2030, electric vehicle inventory will account for more than 50% of auto inventory and annual production and sales of electric vehicle will reach more than 10-19.5 million. Analyst of our institute predicts that the electric vehicle industry will be more and more competitive in the world in 2008-2010. Auto production great power such as America, Japan and Europe, etc. will strengthen the ability of self research as well as production and sales and will lead the world in the aspect of electric vehicle technology. The largest three groups in China and relevant enterprises will continue to undertake the responsibility of most research projects, which is an industry specialty supported by the country. Chinese electric vehicle in 2007-2008 will continue to be top in the world. Privately operated enterprises will further enlarge export during the marketization attempt. For example, Shandong Jindalu Vehicle Co., Ltd and BYD, etc. have great market prospect. Besides, fairly part of privately operated enterprises will join in the group. The family of hydrogen driven motor vehicles is gradually enlarging in Shanghai and it is hopeful that a hydrogen fuel battery bus demonstration line will constructed in Shanghai and 6 hydrogen driven buses will run in some fixed line in Shanghai. This project will invite public bidding towards international fuel cell vehicle manufacturers. What is more, the first hydrogen station located at Shanghai Jiading international auto city is under construction. According to the research plan of Shanghai fuel cell vehicle, 100 fuel cell vehicles will be mass produced in 2008 which includes 90 fuel cell cars and 10 fuel cell buses and a demonstration vehicle team will form in the Shanghai. To 2009, the production scale will reach 1000 and the products will be put into taxi and bus industry; about 2011-2012, annual output of fuel battery cars will reach ten thousand and gradually put into normal autos.
  This report describes thoroughly the operation environment of China’s Electric Vehicle industry, primarily studies and predicts the long-term and short-term trend of the development and demand change of downstream industry. Aim at the opportunity and threat which the current industry faces, put forward the investment and stratagem advices of the development of Electric Vehicle industry. This report helps the Electric Vehicle industry exactly grasp the development tendency; correctly formulate the enterprise’s competition stratagem and investment stratagem. Our main sources are in National Bureau of Statistics of China, State Information Center, China Customs, Electric Machinery Association and other authoritative specialty institute and the practical research and study of our center. This report conforms the data resources and expert resources of lots of authoritative institutes, abstracts the precise and appropriate and valuable advices from lots of data, combines the environment which the industry locates, researches and analyzes many points of view from theory to practice and from macroscopic view to microcosmic view and the conclusion and viewpoint strives to reach the unification of prophecy, practicability and feasibility. It is an elaborate report by the expert group for taking one year of time through the market research and data collection. It is one of the important decision-making basis for the relative investment company and government department exactly grasping the industry development trend and discerning the competition pattern in the industry, evading the operation and investment risk, working out the correct competition and investment risk, working out the correct competition and investment stratagem decision, has the important reference value.


〖 目 录 〗

Chapter 1 Research of Development Status of Electric Vehicle in the World
Section 1 Development Status Quo of Electric Vehicle in the World
I. Production analysis
II. Market demand status
III. Main product analysis
IV. Industrialization status of electric vehicle in the world
Section 2 Development status of electric vehicle in main foreign counties
I. Japan
II. America
III. Europe
Chapter 2 Analysis on Developing Environmental Factors of Electric Vehicle of China in 2007
Section 1 Analysis on Economic Environment of Electric Vehicle Industry in 2007
I. Analysis on economic development of China
II. Disposable Income Per Capita of China in 2007
Section 2 Analysis on Technological Environment
I. Present situation of electric vehicle technology and industrialization
II. Environmental problems and electric vehicle technique:
III. Summary of the key scientific and technological project of electric vehicle of China’s “the Tenth Five-Year Plan”:
Section 3 Analysis of Policy Environment
I. Proposal on developing electric vehicle to ensure China’s energy security:
II. Automobile consumption policy
III. Vehicle emission standards:
IV. Government Subsidy and Duty Free
V. To develop the related policy system of electric vehicle
VI. The free duty of the manufacturers of electric vehicle
VII. Science and Technology Ministry invest 0.8 billion to the project of electric vehicle
Chapter 3 Analysis of development of electric vehicle in 2007
Section 1 Development Description of Electric Vehicle
I. Development history of the electric vehicle
II. Characteristics of the electric vehicle’s development
III. Development status of the electric vehicle
IV. Achievement of the electric vehicle in China
Section 2 Market analysis of electric vehicle
I. Whole vehicle achieving export for the first time
II. FAW--Hongta electric vehicle sold to USA
Section 3 Brand and Competition
I. Occupying commanding height in the new round of competition
II. New opportunities and ideas of the electric vehicle
Section 4 Electric Vehicle Developing Environment Analysis
I. Relieve the oil resources shortage
II. Relieve deterioration of urban air environment
III. Enhance the international competitiveness of China's auto industry
IV. Enhance the competitiveness of auto-manufacturers
Section 5 Power surplus provides platform for electric vehicle developing
I. Electricity supply trend
II. The trinity of Government, the power enterprise and automotive enterprise
III. Taking our own economic developing measures
Section 6 Major problems of present electric vehicle development
I. Limited Driving distance
II. Short battery life
III. Constraints of Battery size and quality
IV. The electric vehicle is expensive
V. Serious indirect pollution
Chapter 4 2007 China's Electric Vehicle Industry Market Operation Analysis 错误!未定义书签。
Section 1 Electric vehicle technology economic benefit analysis
I. Automobile production cost price model
II. Analysis of electric vehicle's cost structure and factors affect the promotion of electric vehicles 错误!未定义书签。
III. Analysis conclusion of electric vehicle technology economic benefit
Section 2 In-depth analysis of China electric vehicle industry
I. Electric vehicle operating entity constitution
II. Model selection of electric vehicle commercial operation
III. Electric vehicle operation plan study
Section 3 China’s Electric Vehicle Market Development Analysis
I. Production and Marketing Condition
II. Import and Export Analysis of Electric Vehicles:
III. Industrial prosperity and profit analysis:
Chapter 5 Development Analysis of Key Fields of China’s Branch Industries of Electric Vehicle in 2007
Section 1 Pure Electric Vehicle
I. Introduction of the development of abroad pure electric vehicle industry
II. The present development conditions:
III. Technique development trend:
IV. Prosperity:
Section 2 Hybrid Vehicle
I. Industry development general of hybrid vehicle in abroad
II. Development status
III. Trend of technology development
IV. Development prospect
Section 3 Fuel cell vehicle
I. Industry development general of fuel cell vehicle in abroad
II. Development status
III. Technological development trend
IV. Development prospect
Chapter 6 Analysis on competition state of electric vehicle industry in China during 2007-2008
Section 1 Development cycle of electric vehicle industry
I. Economic cycle of electric vehicle industry
II. Growth and fluctuation of electric vehicle industry
III. Maturity degree of electric vehicle industry
Section 2 Analysis on the development mode of electric vehicle industry of China
Section 3 Chinese Potter Model Analysis on Electric Vehicle
I. Analysis of industrial original competitors
II. Potential competitor’s analysis
III. Alternatives analysis
IV. Analysis of consumers’ bargaining ability
V. Analysis of supplier bargaining ability
Section 4 Impact of international competitors in the electric vehicle industry
I. SWOT in the domestic electric vehicle enterprise
II. SWOT of the international electric vehicle enterprises
Section 5 Analysis of Market Competition Pattern of the electric vehicle industry in 2008-2010
Chapter 7 Analysis of Key Enterprises’ Operation and Finance
Section 1 SAIC Motor Manufacturing Co., Ltd.
I. Analysis on Operation and Finance
II. Analysis on Competition
III. Development strategies and Prospect
Section 2 FAW Group
I. Analysis on Operation and Finance
II. Analysis on Competition
III. Prospect
Section 3 Dongfeng Motor
I. Analysis on Operation and Finance
II. Analysis on Competition
III. Prospect
Section 4 Geely Holding Group
I. Analysis on Operation and Finance
II. Analysis on Competition
III. Prospect
Section 5 Chana Auto Group
I. Analysis on Operation and Finance
II. Analysis on Competition
III. Prospect
Section 6 BYD
I. Analysis on Operation and Finance
III. Analysis on Competition
III. Prospect
Chapter 8 Overlook and Analysis of Electric Vehicle Industry Impact in 2008-2010
Section 1 Overlook of fuel battery material impact in 2008-2010
I. Development of fuel battery
II. Major factors influencing fuel battery material development
III. Overlook of fuel battery raw material development influence in 2008-2010
Section 2 Outlook of the Impact of the Storage Battery Industry Development in 2008-2010
I. Development situation of the storage battery industry
II. Major factors influencing the development of the storage battery development
III. Overlook of storage battery industry development in 2008-2010
Chapter 9 Market supply and demand trend outlook of the electric vehicle industry in 2008-2010
Section 1 Whole supply trend outlook of the electric vehicle industry in 2008-2010
I. Analysis of Historic supply situation of the electric vehicle
II. Analysis of the major factors impacting the electric vehicle industry historic supply
Section 2 Demand trend outlook of the electric vehicle industry in 2008-2010
I. Summary of the historic demand situation of the electric vehicle industry
II. Analysis of the major factors impacting the demand and supply relation of the electric vehicle industry
III. Forecast of the total demand for electric vehicle in 2008-2010
Chapter 10 Development and the Prospect Forecast of China’s Electric Vehicle from 2008 to 2010
Section 1 Key Technology for Development of Electric Vehicle
I. Vehicle technology
II. Technologies for novel electrical energy
Ⅲ. Motors and electric controls
Section 2 Latest Development and Trend of Electric Vehicle Trade abroad
I. Lastest development and trend of electric vehicle abroad
II. Latest development and trend of the battery technology
III. Latest test reports of electric vehicles
Section 3 Newest Development and Developing Trends of China’s Electric Vehicles
I. Newest development and developing trend of China’s electric vehicle technology
II. Newest development and developing trends of China’s battery technology
III. Newest development and developing trend of China’s other technologies on motor etc.
Section 4 Predict of Developing Trends of Electric Vehicles in Future Years
I. Pure storage cell driving mini vehicles
II. A variety of developments of driving motors
III. Hybrid Vehicle
IV. Fuel cell vehicles become the central issue of competition
Section 5 Electric Vehicles with Independent Brands Open up a New World of China's Auto Industry
Section 6 analysises of electric vehicles’ market prospect
I. Analysis of electric vehicles’ market prospect around the world
II Analysis of the matket prospect of our country’s electric vehicle induatry
Chapter 11 Analysis of Development Tactic of China’s Electric Vehicle Industry from 2008 to 2010
Section 1 Prospect of the Development of the Electric Vehicle Industry
I. Accumulator-powered ultra-micro vehicles
II. Diversed development of drive motor
III. Hybrid Vehicle
IV. Fuel battery vehicle wins the spotlight
Section 2 Develoopment Stage the Electric Vehicle Industry is in
Section 3 Exploration of Sustainable Development Strategy of China’s Electric Vehicle 错误!未定义书签。
Section 4 Operation Mechanism of Sustainable Development of Electric Vehicle
Section 5 China’s Planning for Development of Electric Vehicle during the Eleventh Five-Year Plan
Chapter 12 Analysis of Investment Opportunities and Risks of China’s Electric Vehicle Industry from 2008 to 2010
Section 1 Relevant Policy and System for Development of Electric Vehicle
I. Guidelines for preparation of relevant policy for electric vehicles
II. Policy system for electric vehicle development
III. Function of fuel tax levy on promotion of electric vehicle
Section 2 Selection of Central City for China’s Electric Vehicle Industrialization
1. Practical importance of building central city for China’s electric vehicle industrialization
2 Analysis of location factor of central city for industrialization
Section 3 Alarm of Investment Risk of Electric Vehicle
I. Policy risk and countermeasure
II. Technology risk and countermeasure
III. Market risk and countermeasure
IV. Entering and retreating from barrier
Section 4 Investment Prospect of Electric Vehicle
I. Electric vehicle: with a good prospect
II. Broad market of electric vehicle in the future
III. Cheerful prospect for hybrid car
IV. Electric vehicle will hopefully contribute much to China’s automobile industry
Section 5 Experts’ Opinion and Suggestion
Table of Chart
Figure 1 Development goal of clean energy vehicle in Japan in 2010 determined by Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry
Figure 2 Disposable Income Per Capita and Growth of Urban Residents of China in First Three Quarters from 2000 to 2007
Figure 3 Annual Possessive Quantities of Clean Vehicles in Key popularized Cities From 1999 to 2005
Figure 4 Trend Fugure of Gas-Powered Vehicles From 2003 to 2007 (unit: 10000)
Figure 5 Annual Statistics Of Gas-Powered Buses and Taxies Possessive Quantities (unit: 10000)
Figure 6 Hybrid vehicles have been or will be put into market of the key auto manufacturers in the world
Figure 7 Establishment of hybrid vehicle codes abroad
Figure 8 SAIC’s major accounting data in 2006 Unit: Yuan
Figure 9 Increasing trend of SAIC’s Revenue from main operation in 2002-2006
Figure 10 SAIC’s Net profit and increasing trend in 2002-2006 Unit: Yuan
Figure 11 SAIC’s sales revenue of different products in 2005-2006 Unit: Ten Thousand Yuan
Figure 12 SAIC’s sales revenue of different products in 2005-2006
Figure 13 Main accounting date of FAW group in 2006 Unit: Ten Thousand Yuan
Figure 14 Increasing trend of FAW Group’s Revenue from main operation in 2002-2006
Figure 15 Operating information of main products of FAW Group
Figure 16 Changing trend of sales revenue of FAW group in 2002-2006
Figure 17 Profit changing trend of FAW Group in 2002-2006
Figure 18 Main accounting data of Dongfeng Motor Corporation in 2006 Unit: Yuan
Figure 19 Revenue from main operation and increase trend of Dongfeng Motor in the first 3 quarters of 2002-2007 Unit: Yuan
Figure 20 Dongfeng Motor’s net profit and growth rate trend in the first 3 quarters of 2002-2007 Unit: Yuan
Figure 21 Revenue from main operation of Dongfeng Motor’s products in 2006 Unit: Yuan
Figure 22 Asset and debt of Geely Holding Group in Jan-Aug of 2006 and the trend comparing with the same period in 2005
Figure 23 Sales of Geely Holding Group in Jan-Aug of 2006 and the trend comparing with the same period in 2005
Figure 24 Total Profits of Geely Holding Group in Jan-Aug of 2006 and the trend comparing with the same period in 2005
Figure 25 Main accounting data of Chana Group in 2006 Unit: Yuan
Figure 26 Revenue from main operation and increase rate trend of Chana auto Group in the first 3 quarters of 2002-2007
Figure 27 Net profit and increase rate trend of Chana auto Group in the first 3 quarters of 2002-2007
Figure 28 Revenue of products from main operation and increase rate trend of Chana Auto Group in 2006
Figure 29 Revenue of regions from main operation and increase rate trend of Chana Auto Group in 2006
Figure 30 Debt of BYD in Jan-Aug of 2006 and the trend of the same period of 2005
Figure 31 Sales revenue of BYD in Jan-Aug of 2006 and the trend comparing with the same period in 2005
Figure 32 Total Profits of BYD in Jan-Aug of 2006 and the trend comparing with the same period in 2005
Figure 33 Comparasion of the Performance of Motor and Driving System of Electric Vehicle
Figure 34 Structure chart of the regenerative brake control system of XJTUEV1 electric vehicle
Figure 35 Comparation of Performance of Various Batteries for Vehicles
Figure 36 Table of Testing Performances of Electric Vehicles from National Testing Organizations within the Trade
Figure 37 Measuring Sheet for Influence of Fuel Tax Collection
Figure 38 Score Ranking of Intelligence-Intensive Factor of the Cities
Figure 39 Score Ranking of Development Technical Qualification Factor of the Cities
Figure 40 Score Ranking of Centralization Factor for Trigger of Vehicle Industry Foundation of the Cities
Figure 41 Score Ranking of Foundation Factor of the Existing Electric Vehicle of the Cities
Figure 42 Score Ranking of Infrastructure Factor of the Cities
Figure 43 Score Ranking of Policy Factor of the Cities
Figure 44 Score Ranking of Economic System Factor of the Cities
Figure 45 Score Ranking of Life, Production and Social and Cultural Environment Factor of the Cities
Figure 46 Sheet of Comprehensive Score of the Candidate Cities
Figure 47 ………

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